It Is All Too Familiar: Another For-profit Closure Institution

A college closure news usually followed by sad stories of the students who get caught in the middle.  This also applied to Virginia College students in Pensacola, FL who found out that the institution has abruptly close its door.  The accrediting agency (ACICS) withdrew its accreditation, which was cited as the main reason of its closure.  Perhaps, it is not a coincidence that the same accrediting agency regained its federal recognition recently from the DOE as reported in the following article.  The public hopes that this latest action has not been designed to gain short-run public trust on the agency which has suffered a major blow a couple of years ago.  American public eager to see a consistent action.

Perhaps, the American public may need to ask themselves on their decision to attend  for-profit organizations who run a higher ed.  If the public does not have the confidence,  then do not take the bait, or enroll, or buy the promises.

Tragic: College Students Cheating Are On The Rise

We all know that cheating at US colleges occurs in many forms, across programs, majors, level and institutions.  There is a good chance that the federal fund or loans are used to pay for cheating.  What shocking is that the cheating is on the rise with no sign of declining and no ones seems to care.  One thing that is pretty important from what the service provider said is that the college professors or instructors are:

  1. Lazy and
  2. Do not care.

It is truly sad to see that the don’t care attitude happens every where from the institutions, teaching staff and students–they are all try to get through the system in easy way.  Therefore, one may not need to be surprise that some leading US companies are losing their competitiveness to others.  This is not just an education, buy also a human tragedy.

What 2019 Will Look Like: Higher Ed Competition?

Million readers of this site may, by now, realize how the many short writings, and analyses posted in this BLOG have helped them in different ways.  Again, our analyses are based on publicly available data, where statistical inferences are based upon.  Results, strategies and policy implications then shared to the American public as a free good with one purpose—making the US to be more competitive in the global competition through excellent education quality at an affordable price.  Unfortunately, there is a real challenge to maintain the quality.  Click here for answer.

We are independent and self-funded.  Therefore, instead of representing certain interest groups, we based our analyses on common sense, in-line with theories that have been discussed in many college level textbooks in different areas, from Managerial Accounting to Classical Theory of Measurements, and from Mathematical concepts to Physics.

So, what is the 2019 and beyond higher ed industry will look like?  Revealed information has shown that the regulator does not have strategies to manage the US student loans. In fact, it does have, which is a do-nothing policy or strategy.  Therefore, student debts will continue to grow in accelerated rate.  When the American public realizes, or more knowledgeable and educated about the probability of failure of taking loans, then the risk will be weighted-in more heavily in the equation.  So, making the right pricing strategies is becoming vital than ever.  Consequently, the future will be less sunny for tuition-dependent institutions and for those who are not taking serious steps to control their operational cost, i.e, less efficient institutions.  More closures in 2019?  May be!

 

Confirmed: Efficiency Is An Important Game In Managing US Higher Ed Institutions

Today, we learned that what the Association has hypothesized about six years ago finally has been confirmed by the college administrators. After denying or silently agreed with AAEA’s econometric study, the US College presidents admit that they have operated inefficiently in the past.  After AAEA revealed how poor the operational cost has been managed.  As results, the American public has lost their confidence to support some of the institutions.  Declining financial support has a significant bite on the ability of them to operate.  Like a circle, any good or bad decisions will finally have the cause and effect chains.

No one can make her or his own decision without affecting others in the system.  After so many years of BAU, finally their past policy hunt them down.  According to the article, the first item that the public asks, when the institution asks for more funding or donation is to show that they, the institutions, have operated efficiently as shared below:

1. Demonstrate efficiency
Before university leaders ask for more state support, they must demonstrate that they are being more efficient with the funding they currently get. Those universities leading the way on this front – including exemplars such as the University of Wisconsin system and The Ohio State University – are directly connecting savings gained from lower operational costs with noticeable reductions in the cost of attending college. In fact, Ohio and Wisconsin were ranked No. 1 and No. 9, respectively, in lowest tuition increases over the last decade.

While a lower tuition may be one indicator, there are other more important measurement metrics on efficiency.  AAEA has proposed to apply revenue to cost ratio as an ultimate institutional metrics to manage operational expenses.

Bannett’s Hypothesis Failed To Be Rejected

The regulator’s recent speech also mentioned that US Higher Ed Institutions are one of the important actors that have added systematic errors into the system.  Tuition increases have impacted the US student loans positively.  Five years ago the Association conducted a research by applying Econometric and applied statistics on NCES publicly available data to study if there is a positive correlation between the two variables.  The results have been published and positive correlations between tuition and student loans is confirmed.  This finding failed to reject Bannett’s hypothesis.

Self-focused Interests Are One Of The Source of Systematic Errors

The regulator’s recent speech mentioned pretty clear the source of systematic errors.  Majority involved in higher ed has acted like dairy farmers who hardly can wait to cash cow lawfully or even if they have to cross the line.  Moral as mentioned in Adam Smith’s monumental work is not important anymore.  Everyone tries to maximize their own interest.  This is one of the reasons why the student loans are complex and impossible to handle.  It may need supermen and superheroes combined to get it fix.  However, both superheroes and supermen are found in the fiction books.  Therefore, in reality, it is almost impossible to find solutions for the loan debts.  It may take the two sides of the aisle work together to solve this issue before it gets out-of-control.

What Did The American Public Learn: No Way Out For Student Loan Debt Crises

It is now pretty clear that there is no public policy prepared to manage the US student loan debts–at least not in the near future.  It seems that the regulator would rather (1). Blame others; (2). Do nothing policy; (3). The issue is too touchy and difficult to solve; and (4). Waiting for miracle to happen to solve it.

Apparently, the US policy makers do not have the ability, will or way-out to deal with skyrocketed student loans.  The reason is simple in that the majority of the participants in some ways are the contributors and creators of the systematic errors.  In such a case, one contributing player could do is to eliminate her or his own errors, yet she or he does not have any ability to manage systematic errors that have been added by other players.  For example:

  1. Interest rate is determine by the Legislative Branch.  Therefore, the Executive does not have any control to change that.
  2. The second example could come from the Executive Branch and the loan servicing companies (NNI or NAVI) who have been awarded the contract to collect the loan payments.  Any implemented business policy or strategy irregularities applied by these companies cannot be control by the Executive.
  3. Recently the regulator revived its sanction on ACICS to be in business again,  ignoring the findings of comprehensive studies that have been conducted by the US Senator Elizabeth Warren.  Pretty ironic.

Having studied this issue for many years, the Association come to a conclusion that student loan crises will get worse in the future because no one is able, want or plan to manage it.  Secondly, the borrowers should not expect to get any help if they are stumbled and get caught into it.  Therefore, read the fine prints carefully before signing any promissory notes.

The Regulator Finally Admitted: US Is Facing Student Loan Crisis

The Association just learned that the regulator finally admitted that the US student loans have created a crisis.  Cited in this article, the administrator mentioned three sources that have caused the student loan debt problems.

  1. US higher ed institutions.
  2. The borrowers irresponsible acts.
  3. Past administrator’s policy.

AAEA has written many articles in the past on the first point–that the US higher ed institutions have to control their operational cost. Please click here to read more.  The regulator’s remark has directly or indirectly confirmed the research finding.

It is pretty interesting to note that while admitting about the crises are happening, there are no suggestions or future policy will be applied to curb or solve the crises.  This shows that even the regulator does not know what to do.  But, as the Association has shared to the American public that the inability to solve the problem is due to (1). There is no any policy instruments; (2).  It is not the branch of Executive to solve the issue; (3). There is no will or interest from all the three branches of government to solve the problem or (4).  Instead of solving the issues, the policies have indirectly let other parties to create or infused more systematic errors into the system.

 

New Development: ACICS Is Back In Business

This morning we learned the administrator has revived the accrediting group for-profit colleges, despite of their low track recordWill it matter?  May be.  The public may need to read an exclusive report on this issue written by Senator Elizabeth Warren’s office.  Please click here.  This is just a classic example that shows how disarray the US education and public policy is.  How dysfunctional the relationships among the US Executive, Legislative and Judicial branches are.  When policies applied to benefit certain interest groups alone, it logically cannot be called a public policy.  Rather, an interest group policy, for it does not represent the American public. That is how the logic works.

By now the American public has more knowledge about the effects of going to college and the potential of creating debts that some and because of a lower ROI (Return on Investment), may not be able to take them off their shoulder, ever.  That being said, the impact may be minimal.  However, there are certain population groups who may take the baits.  If you care about your friends or family members and happened to visit the AAEA’s site or read articles in the BLOG, please share or forward the articles to them.  You may save them from taking loans which they may not be able to pay them back for the rest of their life.  Please click here for real life experience from others (One needs to scroll down to the bottom of the article).

The current administrator’s policy again confirmed what the Association has hypothesized and found in its recent research.  Systematic errors do occur and with this additional policy, perhaps, more of these kind of errors are (intentionally) infused in the system because of special interest groups, which may not necessarily represent the majority of the American public’s interest.  Consequently, the student loan debts and its growth will accelerate as well in the near future.

More Than A Million Have Visited The AAEA & DS Site

The Association starts with a pretty simple objective which is to revitalize the US Higher Ed.  Its first published article was written on March 13, 2013.  Today, on November 24, 2018 at around 10am, the 1 millionth magic number is reached.  There got to be clear reasons why the public keep coming back and spent time to read the articles written in the Blog.  It is not just a simple article, but it contained new ideas, logical thoughts surrounded education analytics, higher ed, and student loans.  AAEA is independent, honest, unbiased, and always used data in its analyses.  The Association does not side with anyone, except the truth alone.  DOE starts publishing the financially troubled colleges, universities and other types of education entities only after the Association has done it first.