Refinance Student Loans Proposal

Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y., as reported by CNBC urged that “the regulator to consider refinancing of student loans as a top priority”.  This suggestion will help those graduates with existing loans.  However, in the long-run, it will not solve the student loans problem.  The Association has said repeatedly that the root of the problem is on college operational inefficiency, applying old management mindset & style and waste of its resources.  From our research, we found that US Colleges are managed and run without clear objectives.  Our study shows that most of them do not apply minimizing cost paradigms and do not have a clear idea how to set the tuition (pricing policy) appropriately and justly.  Rather, the institution has somewhat been transformed into a vehicle to maximize wealth of the management team and its inner circle on the cost of the students’, young Americans’ future and the country economy stability.  The Association has just posted an example yesterday how presidents of several community colleges in NC done it.  The loans which have reached $1.2 trillion may trigger financial crises in the near future.  Time is running out as day lapses! 

Please let us know what you guys think?

College Administrators’ Interests Are Not on Optimizing Students’ Needs

The Us public has seen again and again how higher education institutions’ administrators manage their respective institution. The following article from Newsobserver.com is another example that shows the interest of college administrators does not necessary in line with students’ interest. Rather on her or his own agenda. This is another reason, why the regulator needs to put more regulations to control such behaviors, especially policy and practices which mismanage public money.

More Higher Education Regulations in 2014 and Beyond?

More regulations are coming in 2014 and beyond which will make higher education in the US as one of the most regulated industries.  This regulation is a clear answer and is the response to public outcry of reckless college administrators’ pricing/tuition policies.  AAEA has published many research results which pointed to the need of putting the brakes on these try-and-error practices as well as from colleges’ spending sprees, operational inefficiency and reckless decisions.

Karen Weise of BloombergBusinessWeek reported on her January 2, 2014 article that “On Dec. 19, Senators Jack Reed (D-R.I.), Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), and Dick Durbin (D-Ill.) introduced the Protect Student Borrowers Act of 2013, which puts colleges on the hook when students can’t keep up with their loans”.

Our most recent CAR published book shows and discusses the source of college inefficiencies and how these source can be minimized.

College Affordability Rating Book was Published

Dear AAEA members, friends and other interested parties:  The Association has finally completed and published the CAR book.  Please click here to read the table of contents.  The Association will mail the book for free (retail price almost $40.00) to the first ten members that request the book.  What you need to do is (1) Be a member and (2). Write an email request to harry.djunaidi@IRIntelligence.org.

College Affordability Rating (CAR) and Future College Reaccreditation Process

Potentially the College Affordability Rating will be added as one of the re-accreditation conditions that need to be met by US colleges. Looking ahead what is coming in 2014, AAEA has seen the potential applications of the CAR among other measures in college accreditation process. If this is the case, some colleges especially those with triple Bs rating will have difficult time to survive. For those who are currently have at least two As on any of the first three components of the CAR might be able to survive. Private-small colleges such as Liberal Arts with a B rating on their graduation rate might suffer significant consequences from the implementation of the newly proposed CAR regulation.

Please write us what do you guys think the impacts would have on the US macroeconomics?

December 11, 2013 College Submit and Its Implications on US Higher Education

As you guys may be aware Yahoo! News has recently written an article that on December 11, 2013 the administrator will hold a day-long submits at the White House. The meeting is called College Submit and stated that “President Barack Obama is summoning college presidents and business leaders to a daylong Dec. 11 summit at the White House to discuss specific ways to make higher education more accessible to low-income students”. The report continues announcing that “The Dec. 11 summit is being run by the National Economic Council, the Domestic Policy Council, and the Department of Education, and will serve as the launching pad for a college affordability drive that will likely run for months — potentially right up to the November 2014 elections. First lady Michelle Obama is expected to play a role in next week’s kickoff event and going forward”.

The College Submit indicates that the newly proposed College Affordability Rating (CAR) will be promoted, campaigned and will become the law of the land in the future.  It will have big financial impacts and may affect the existence of some colleges if the CAR becomes the law.  AAEA has published the ‘PROXY RATINGS” to help US colleges to anticipate the impacts that it may have on them.

Please let us know what you guys think?

Ivy League Schools Future Survival Studies

Starting on November 18, 2013, the Association of American Education Analytics (AAEA) will share its research finding on future survival rate (FSR) of US Colleges.  It will start with the Ivy League schools (please click here to read the report).  The rate is calculated by comparing net tuition revenue after institutional grant aids and total general and education expenses (please see footnote on each figure).  Lower FSR reflects a lower survival rate and vice versa.  Except for UPenn, it is truly amazing to see that all of them have one thing in common in that the FSR has decreased tremendously in the last 10 years.  Meaning their ability to survive financially has deteriorated overtime. Harvard recently announced and admitted the financial challenges that the school is facing.  By looking at these graphs, one may not be so surprised to learn Harvard’s $34 million budget deficit.  Examining and analyzing the graphs below, will it suggest that other Ivy League schools are facing the same problem as that of Harvard’s?

Please let us know what you guys think?


[1] Harry Djunaidi led the completion of these research projects.

IRI Paradigms are Urgently Needed to Manage US Higher Ed Industry: The Case of Harvard University

While the new IRI (Institutional Research Intelligence) paradigm has been developed in 2010, only in March 2013, the new concepts were introduced to the American public through the publication of the first ever written education analytics book (IRI: Go beyond Reporting) and the launching of AAEA website. Several years ago, the Association has anticipated the upcoming phenomenal and structural changes that may impact the US colleges’ survival. Only by implementing new paradigms they may be able to navigate the new sea of competition (AAEA has written an article on this issue in this blog on March 13, 2013). AAEA has encouraged the US colleges to operate more efficiently, to cut the unnecessary spending sprees, managing the overpaid full professors’ or decision makers’ salary, over investment, rethink about the tenure system, over expanding and matching retirement policy. These encouragements are pursued in different ways, such as sharing research results, conducted numerous presentations or writing and publishing numerous articles in this blog.

Therefore, recent announcement of Harvard’s budget deficit two-year in a row is not a surprise for us at AAEA. This, in fact confirmed our analyses are indeed in the right path. If US colleges want to survive, they have to change the way they do business as suggested by Harvard’s Vice President and CFO as quoted and published by Harvard Gazette on November 8, 2013. He specifically mentioned how challenging and “complicated choice” it will be to deal with specific issues related to the benefits and cost cutting management (the Association has discussed the issue in this blog on March 18, 2018). Perhaps, this is the right time for colleges to start implementing the IRI paradigm which are based on education analytics in the decision making process which will help to change the campus culture and to replace the “old wisdom” to manage higher education in the US. AAEA is always ready to help colleges to accomplish and implement the IRI paradigms—which is a total approach to manage higher education industry to operate and apply more cost effective approaches.

AAEA’s Research Results are Confirmed by What has Happened at Harvard University

On November 9, 2013 Harvard Gazette has reported that the school, Harvard, the richest and one of the most prestigious private universities in the US has experienced budget deficits (expenses are higher than generated revenue) in two consecutive years.  Please click here to read the full article.

This article again confirms AAEA’s research results (Harvard University Results are shown on page 516) which the Association has conducted about a year ago.  AAEA has identified that current higher education system is unsustainable.  Based on the study, the Association has urged US colleges to operate more efficiently and encouraged them to adopt new paradigms and mindsets to cope with the phenomenal structural changes that have happened in order to survive.  Harvard administrators plainly said as quoted in the article that their institution has to do better job in managing its operational cost.  However, they also admitted how challenging and difficult to change the current sub-optimal and inefficiency system for everything has been tangled and formed by inefficient sub-system throughout the organization.  For example, the tenure system and overpaid full professor salary.

AAEA’s research results conducted based on the new IRI (Institutional Research Intelligence) have revealed the root of problem facing by US colleges.  These new paradigms supported by education analytics would be the future management tools for colleges to embrace in order to avoid filling for bankruptcy.

AAEA’s Comments on: Ratings will Punish Colleges and Students for Factors They Cannot Control

During a conference call between the US Secretary of Education and reporters as published in an article in Chronicle Journal of Higher Education on November 5, 2013 (please click here to read the whole article). Basically there are three points raised by the reporters on the application of CAR.

  1. Data aren’t good enough to calculate the rating.
  2. Ratings will penalize colleges that serve the neediest students; and
  3. Ratings will punish colleges and students for factors they cannot control.

In this page, we are going to discuss the third point.  The statement itself is not correct:  CAR will not punish anybody including the students.  In fact, the regulation is introduced to protect students’ and the colleges’ interests.  There is no punishment and no one will be harmed by the CAR.  The regulation itself is geared to encourage and to protect both students’ and colleges’ long-run interests.  Students are encouraged to work harder, smarter and tactful toward learning and finishing their study as it supposed to in term of the completion time.  Colleges as service providers are expected to deliver the best quality of instructions at the best values.  That is all.  If there is any factor beyond one’s control, then it will be handled case by case.  However, ill motivations will not be part in the equation.  Both US colleges and students have to stop with all the excuses, whining and blaming games.   Take charge of your future in responsible ways.  In order to keep everyone in line, the US needs a compliance agency to ensure that every players in the education industry to comply with the rule of the game.  The current accreditation agencies have failed to accomplish their job.  The US needs Education Standard and Compliance Commissions (ESCC).  Does the CAR reflect the accreditation agencies such as those listed below have not achieved their objective optimally?

  1. Middle States Association of Colleges and Schools – Educational institutions in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the US Virgin Islands, as well as schools for American children in Europe, North Africa, and the Middle East.
  2. New England Association of Schools and Colleges – Educational institutions in the six New England states (Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont).
  3. North Central Association of Colleges and Schools – Educational institutions in Arkansas, Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, North Dakota, Nebraska, New Mexico, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Wisconsin, West Virginia, and Wyoming.
  4. Northwest Accreditation Commission for primary and secondary schools and Northwest Commission on Colleges and Universities for postsecondary institutions in Alaska, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, and Washington.
  5. Southern Association of Colleges and Schools – Educational institutions in Virginia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Alabama, Tennessee and Texas.
  6. Western Association of Schools and Colleges – Educational institutions in California, Hawaii, Guam, American Samoa, Micronesia, Palau, and Northern Marianas Islands, as well as schools for American children in Asia.

Please tell us do you guys think, the US needs another watch dog such as ESCC?